In Myanmar, Simmering Grievances Could Sabotage Years-Long Peace Process

Peace remains elusive in one of the world’s longest-running civil wars. The ethnic Karen have fought for greater autonomy for nearly 70 years in their homeland of Myanmar’s southeast Kayin state. While ongoing peace talks may provide a framework for formally ending the conflict, a durable solution will likely remain beyond reach unless the underlying conditions that animate Karen grievances are addressed.

Lessons from the Past for Tunisia’s 2019 Elections

Tunisia’s 2019 parliamentary and presidential elections are just over ten months away. In the aftermath of the 2014 elections, two parties, Nidaa Tounes and the Islamist Ennahda movement, used their combined seats to form a government. Nearly five years later, Ennahda seems poised to perform well due to its enduring popularity, while Nidaa Tounes has seen its support steadily decline due in part to internal fractures.

Unconventional Houthi War Tactics

Houthi forces have used a combination of conventional weaponry and unconventional, ad-hoc strategies to fight forces loyal to the Republic of Yemen Government (ROYG) and its Arab-led coalition allies in the ongoing Yemeni civil war. Here, Navanti reviews two of the Houthis’ unorthodox methods for prosecuting the ongoing conflict.

What's the Status of Negotiations over Northeast Syria?

A number of Syrian news outlets have reported that the Kurdish-led Autonomous Administration (AA) is negotiating with Damascus over the future of the resource-rich quarter of the country under AA control. Are negotiations actually underway, and, if so, what do they mean for a possible political settlement to the civil war?

Cyclone Mekunu Devastates South Yemen’s Infrastructure

When Mekunu struck Yemen’s southern coastline late last month, dozens of residents of al-Mahra and Hadramawt provinces were injured and killed as the cyclone sank boats and swept cars and buses off the roads. Stormwater created a series of small waterfalls on the hilly island of Socotra, leaving over 40 people missing by Mekunu’s end.

The Economic Impact of Boko Haram Rule

In northeast Nigera, the impact of Boko Haram rule can linger for years after the extremist organization is cleared from an area. Navanti researchers recently visited Cross Kawa, a village in Borno state that has struggled to rebuild its economy since the Nigerian military captured it from Boko Haram in late 2015.

Life Under Siege in Ta’izz, Yemen

Ta’izz has experienced instability since the Yemen conflict broke out in 2011, as Republic of Yemen Government (ROYG)-aligned militias, and pro-Houthi forces fought for control over different neighborhoods of the city. 

Life after ISIS in Busayra, Deir al-Zour

In September 2017, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) began a campaign to recapture large parts of Syria’s eastern Deir al-Zour province from ISIS. Around the same time, the SDF announced the creation of the Deir al-Zour Civil Council (DZCC) to administer the oil-rich desert province in the post-ISIS phase.

Life After ISIS in Tabqah, Syria

The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) captured Tabqah , located west of al-Raqqa city, from ISIS in May 2017. Since that time, the SDF-affiliated Tabqah Civil Council (TCC) has begun the arduous task of restoring some semblance of normal life to a city all but destroyed by the six-year civil war.

Spot Threat Assessment Series: Jerusalem Embassy Move

When President Trump formally recognized Jerusalem as Israel’s capital on 06 DEC 2017, regional heads of state including Jordanian King Abdullah and Saudi King Salman warned that violent reactions would spill over from Israel-Palestine into surrounding countries. Within hours of the announcement, Navanti provided its clients with a street level view detailing possible security threats in the MENA region.